Welcome to Predictus Energy - your go-to source for future climate data in the HVAC and building design industry.
Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) data represent typical weather conditions observed over a specific period at a particular location. TMY data include various weather parameters such as temperature, humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation. This standardized set of information provides designers with expected weather conditions of a location, which are useful for optimizing commercial building performance and reducing the risk of under or over-designing. Under-designing can lead to inadequate heating or cooling during extreme weather conditions, resulting in discomfort for building occupants. Over-designing, on the other hand, can lead to unnecessary costs and energy waste.
Predictus Energy has consolidated TMY and future TMY (fTMY) data for thousands of locations, all in one place. Understanding how typical meteorological years may be expected to shift in the future can help designers optimize energy performance today as well as improving the system's overall sustainability for the years to come. Along with TMY and fTMY data, Predictus has synthesized additional weather-related data that are used by building designers, such as: heating or cooling degree days; ASHRAE design conditions for sizing equipment; historic and future hourly weather files for energy simulation.
Because buildings emit roughly 40% of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States (DOE, 2012), performant HVAC systems represent significant opportunities for climate change mitigation and adaptation. In June 2023, ASHRAE reaffirmed its position regarding the importance of minimizing energy use by HVAC&R systems. As stated in ASHRAE's current climate change policy:
"Even if GHG emissions were held constant at today’s level, warming would continue for several more decades until the earth-atmosphere system reached temperature equilibrium. Carbon dioxide and some of the other GHGs will remain in the atmosphere for many decades or even centuries. Therefore, existing atmospheric GHG impacts will continue for decades and the effects will persist for centuries."
— ASHRAE, 2018
Designing energy efficient buildings is good for the environment, but it can also avoid costly redesigns of commercial systems in future. As temperatures rise, HVAC systems in commercial buildings may be stressed to the point where they no longer achieve the targets they were designed to meet. Rising temperatures may necessitate increased energy use for air conditioning, higher energy bills, decreased efficiency, or the need to resize equipment. For large systems, early consideration of climate projections can save building owners money in the long run. By considering climate projections in the building planning process designers can better understand the specific environmental conditions of a given location, which can help them to design HVAC systems that are well-suited to the climate.
Buildings designed today without considering changing climate are vulnerable to adverse performance in the decades to come. Even the most optimistic climate model scenarios indicate a rising temperature trend from today through 2050. Because typical buildings are designed to last approximately 30-50 years before major upgrades, the buildings constructed today will experience altered performance over their service life due to changing climate.
"Weather is an important simulation model input, but the current practice of averaging historical weather records does not take into account anticipated climate-related changes."
— ASHRAE, 2018
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